MEXICO ENERGY OUTLOOK (World Energy Outlook Special Report)

Mexico is recasting its entire energy system, in line with a far-reaching Energy Reform package adopted by the government in 2013. How might the multiple changes being implemented today change the energy scene of tomorrow?

This analysis provides a comprehensive assessment of Mexico's energy demand and supply outlook to 2040.

The report maps out the implications of the Reforma Energética across the energy economy; explores the ambition of a reformed power market to meet rising demand, while tapping Mexico's abundant renewable resources and reducing the costs of power supply; assesses how and when the new upstream bid rounds can turn around today's declines in oil and gas output; and identifies the challenges that remain, while also quantifying the value of Mexico's energy transformation in a "No Reform Case".

1. Energy in Mexico today

1.1 Introduction

1.2. Key energy trends in Mexico

1.3. Factors affecting Mexico's energy development

1.4. Projecting future developments

2. Energy Outlook in Mexico to 2040

2.1. Pathways for Mexico's energy development

2.2 Outlook by sector in the New Policies Scenario

2.3 Outlook by fuel in the New Policies Scenario

3. Mexico's Energy Reform in focus

3.1. Four angles on Mexico's Energy Reform

3.2. Mexico's upstream oil: fighting against decline

3.3. Power markets: can cleaner power come at lower cost?

3.4. Influence of North American energy market integration

3.5. Measuring the impacts of Energy Reform: a No Reform Case

ANNEXES

Annex A. Tables for scenario projections

Annex B. Definitions

Annex C. References